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MLB 2026-08-02T23:20 @ Dodger Stadium Game 3 of series
BOS Boston Red Sox
ML -110 -1.5 -110
O/U 8.5 8.3 proj
LAD Los Angeles Dodgers
ML -110 +1.5 -110
BOS 57% LAD 43%
MODEL WIN PROBABILITY
MODEL PICKS
Moneyline Boston Red Sox -110
54%
+3.9% edge
XGB BOS 62% LR BOS 60% NN LAD 51%
MODELS SPLIT
TOP FACTORS
↑ park_run_factor
↓ sp_era_diff
↑ net_run_diff
Run Line Boston Red Sox -1.5 -110
66%
+16.1% edge
XGB BOS -1.5 78% LR BOS -1.5 68% NN BOS -1.5 63%
models agree
TOP FACTORS
↑ park_run_factor
↓ sp_era_diff
↑ net_run_diff
Totals Under 8.5 -112
48%
-2.6% edge
XGB Under 8.3 LR Under 8.3 NN Under 8.2
models agree
GAME ANALYSIS
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PITCHING MATCHUP
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LINEUPS & PREDICTED BOX SCORE
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TEAM CONTEXT
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ODDS BY BOOK
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GAME ENVIRONMENT
Ballpark Dodger Stadium
Run Factor 99
Neutral
Weather 88°F · Clear · Wind 8 mph WSW
Totals O/U 8.5 8.3 proj
LINE MOVEMENT
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INJURIES
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GAME CONTEXT
Weather 88°F · Clear · Wind 8 mph WSW
ML open → now (away) -110 → -110
ML open → now (home) -110 → -110
Line movement (vs opening) Flat
Umpire data Coming soon
UPSET FACTOR
Chaos score 5 / 10
Underdog upset rate this season
92%
Blown leads recently
25%
Head-to-head divergence
0%
Bullpen volatility
42%
Starting pitcher inconsistency
30%
Series-game effect
100%