TOP PICKS

Jose Siri is a massive underdog for singles against Houston, with a season average of 0.3 and a career average of 0.7 against HOU. The model projects only 0.1 singles, and the market has hit the Under 4/5 times in the last 20 games. His low projection aligns perfectly with his historical struggle against this specific opponent.

Jorge Barrosa has a perfect 0.0 average against Pittsburgh's pitcher, hitting 0 singles in 3 career games. The opposing pitcher throws a heavy arsenal of fastballs and sliders that Barrosa struggles with, resulting in a .174/.333 line on fastballs and a .200/.267 line on sliders. The model projects 0.6 total hits/runs/RBIs, which is well above his career average of 0.0 vs PIT.

Donovan Walton has a 0.3 average against Boston in 3 career games, hitting only 2 singles. The opposing pitcher throws a heavy sinker and 4-seam fastball mix that Walton has historically struggled against, with a .125/.312 line on sinkers and a .361/.667 line on 4-seamers. The model projects 0.1 singles, which is consistent with his poor history vs BOS.

Ryan Kreidler is 0-for-4 against Kansas City's pitcher in 4 career games, averaging 0.0 singles. The opposing pitcher relies heavily on a sinker (39%) and sweeper (26%), but Kreidler has a .125/.125 line on changeups and a .241/.500 line on 4-seamers. The model projects 0.2 singles, which is extremely low given his historical struggles vs KC.

Ryan Vilade has a season average of 0.4 singles and a 0.0 average against Texas in 1 career game. The opposing pitcher throws a heavy 4-seam fastball (45%) and curveball (20%) mix. Vilade has a .271/.424 line on 4-seamers and a .308/.538 line on curveballs, but the low sample size and historical struggle vs TEX suggest he will not get many singles. The model projects 0.2 singles.