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MLB Wed Jul 29 7:10 PM ET @ Great American Ball Park
CLE Cleveland Guardians
ML -110 -1.5 -110
O/U 8.5 9.4 proj
CIN Cincinnati Reds
ML -110 +1.5 -110
CLE 44% CIN 56%
MODEL WIN PROBABILITY
MODEL PICKS
Moneyline Cleveland Guardians -110
50%
-2.4% edge
XGB CIN 58% LR CIN 53% NN CIN 58%
models agree
Run Line Cleveland Guardians -1.5 -110
53%
+3.4% edge
XGB CLE -1.5 62% LR CLE -1.5 59%
models agree
Totals Over 8.5 -110
48%
-2.0% edge
XGB Over 10.2 LR Over 9.0
models agree
GAME ANALYSIS
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PITCHING MATCHUP
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LINEUPS & PREDICTED BOX SCORE
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TEAM CONTEXT
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ODDS BY BOOK
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GAME ENVIRONMENT
Ballpark Great American Ball Park
Run Factor 112
Hitter Friendly
Weather 83°F · Clear · Wind 8 mph N
Totals O/U 8.5 9.4 proj
LINE MOVEMENT
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INJURIES
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GAME CONTEXT
Weather 83°F · Clear · Wind 8 mph N
ML open → now (away) +124 → -110
ML open → now (home) -146 → -110
Line movement (vs opening) Flat
Umpire data Coming soon
UPSET FACTOR
Chaos score 7 / 10
Underdog upset rate this season
73%
Blown leads recently
12%
Head-to-head divergence
67%
Bullpen volatility
53%
Starting pitcher inconsistency
30%
Series-game effect
100%