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MLB Wed Jul 29 4:10 PM ET @ Petco Park
COL Colorado Rockies
ML +136 +1.5 -152
O/U 8.5 8.0 proj
SD San Diego Padres
ML -158 -1.5 +133
COL 39% SD 61%
MODEL WIN PROBABILITY
MODEL PICKS
Moneyline San Diego Padres -158
58%
-0.7% edge
XGB SD 73% LR SD 56% NN SD 59%
models agree
Run Line San Diego Padres -1.5 +133
50%
+7.1% edge
XGB SD -1.5 56% LR COL +1.5 62%
MODELS SPLIT
Totals Under 8.5 -113
50%
-1.3% edge
XGB Over 9.3 LR Under 6.8
MODELS SPLIT
GAME ANALYSIS
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PITCHING MATCHUP
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LINEUPS & PREDICTED BOX SCORE
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TEAM CONTEXT
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ODDS BY BOOK
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GAME ENVIRONMENT
Ballpark Petco Park
Run Factor 93
Pitcher Friendly
Weather 77°F · Clear · Wind 7 mph SW
Totals O/U 8.5 8.0 proj
LINE MOVEMENT
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INJURIES
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GAME CONTEXT
Weather 77°F · Clear · Wind 7 mph SW
ML open → now (away) -110 → +136
ML open → now (home) -110 → -158
Line movement (vs opening) Toward home (8.9¢)
Umpire data Coming soon
UPSET FACTOR
Chaos score 5 / 10
Underdog upset rate this season
54%
Blown leads recently
12%
Head-to-head divergence
57%
Bullpen volatility
58%
Starting pitcher inconsistency
30%
Series-game effect
50%