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MLB 2026-08-02T19:10 @ Coors Field Game 3 of series
KC Kansas City Royals
ML -110 -1.5 -110
O/U 8.5 10.9 proj
COL Colorado Rockies
ML -110 +1.5 -110
KC 56% COL 44%
MODEL WIN PROBABILITY
MODEL PICKS
Moneyline Kansas City Royals -110
53%
+3.4% edge
XGB KC 51% LR KC 54% NN KC 64%
models agree
TOP FACTORS
↑ park_run_factor
↓ sp_era_diff
↓ pitcher_dominance_diff
Run Line Kansas City Royals -1.5 -110
71%
+21.3% edge
XGB KC -1.5 73% LR KC -1.5 69% NN KC -1.5 78%
models agree
TOP FACTORS
↑ park_run_factor
↓ sp_era_diff
↓ pitcher_dominance_diff
Totals Over 8.5 -110
61%
+10.9% edge
XGB Over 11.2 LR Over 10.2 NN Over 11.1
models agree
GAME ANALYSIS
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PITCHING MATCHUP
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LINEUPS & PREDICTED BOX SCORE
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TEAM CONTEXT
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ODDS BY BOOK
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GAME ENVIRONMENT
Ballpark Coors Field
Run Factor 138
Hitter Friendly
Weather 92°F · Clear · Wind 12 mph ESE
Totals O/U 8.5 10.9 proj
LINE MOVEMENT
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INJURIES
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GAME CONTEXT
Weather 92°F · Clear · Wind 12 mph ESE
ML open → now (away) -110 → -110
ML open → now (home) -110 → -110
Line movement (vs opening) Flat
Umpire data Coming soon
UPSET FACTOR
Chaos score 5 / 10
Underdog upset rate this season
44%
Blown leads recently
38%
Head-to-head divergence
0%
Bullpen volatility
93%
Starting pitcher inconsistency
30%
Series-game effect
100%