← Back to slate
MLB Wed Jul 29 7:40 PM ET @ Target Field
KC Kansas City Royals
ML -110 -1.5 -110
O/U 8.5 7.3 proj
MIN Minnesota Twins
ML -110 +1.5 -110
KC 58% MIN 42%
MODEL WIN PROBABILITY
MODEL PICKS
Moneyline Kansas City Royals -110
55%
+4.6% edge
XGB KC 62% LR KC 60% NN KC 51%
models agree
Run Line Kansas City Royals -1.5 -110
67%
+16.8% edge
XGB KC -1.5 75% LR KC -1.5 73%
models agree
Totals Under 8.5 -110
54%
+4.0% edge
XGB Under 8.1 LR Under 6.4
models agree
GAME ANALYSIS
Loading analysis…
PITCHING MATCHUP
Loading pitchers…
LINEUPS & PREDICTED BOX SCORE
Loading lineups…
TEAM CONTEXT
Loading team context…
ODDS BY BOOK
Loading books…
GAME ENVIRONMENT
Ballpark Target Field
Run Factor 97
Neutral
Weather Dome (Climate Controlled)
Totals O/U 8.5 7.3 proj
LINE MOVEMENT
Loading chart…
INJURIES
Loading injuries…
GAME CONTEXT
Weather Dome (Climate Controlled)
ML open → now (away) -110 → -110
ML open → now (home) -110 → -110
Line movement (vs opening) Flat
Umpire data Coming soon
UPSET FACTOR
Chaos score 6 / 10
Underdog upset rate this season
64%
Blown leads recently
12%
Head-to-head divergence
86%
Bullpen volatility
70%
Starting pitcher inconsistency
30%
Series-game effect
50%