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MLB Wed Jul 29 12:10 PM ET @ loanDepot Park
PHI Philadelphia Phillies
ML -157 -1.5 +109
O/U 7.5 7.5 proj
MIA Miami Marlins
ML +136 +1.5 -125
PHI 67% MIA 33%
MODEL WIN PROBABILITY
MODEL PICKS
Moneyline Philadelphia Phillies -157
64%
+5.1% edge
XGB PHI 70% LR PHI 70% NN PHI 61%
models agree
Run Line Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 +109
50%
+2.1% edge
XGB PHI -1.5 52% LR PHI -1.5 55%
MODELS SPLIT
Totals Over 7.5 -115
50%
-23.9% edge
XGB Under 7.1 LR Under 7.5
MODELS SPLIT
GAME ANALYSIS
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PITCHING MATCHUP
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LINEUPS & PREDICTED BOX SCORE
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TEAM CONTEXT
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ODDS BY BOOK
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GAME ENVIRONMENT
Ballpark loanDepot Park
Run Factor 94
Pitcher Friendly
Weather Dome (Climate Controlled)
Totals O/U 7.5 7.5 proj
LINE MOVEMENT
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INJURIES
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GAME CONTEXT
Weather Dome (Climate Controlled)
ML open → now (away) -110 → -157
ML open → now (home) -110 → +136
Line movement (vs opening) Toward away (10.0¢)
Umpire data Coming soon
UPSET FACTOR
Chaos score 6 / 10
Underdog upset rate this season
84%
Blown leads recently
38%
Head-to-head divergence
100%
Bullpen volatility
87%
Starting pitcher inconsistency
30%
Series-game effect
100%