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MLB 2026-07-30T02:10 @ Dodger Stadium Game 3 of series
SEA Seattle Mariners
ML -110 -1.5 -110
O/U 8.5 7.7 proj
LAD Los Angeles Dodgers
ML -110 +1.5 -110
SEA 53% LAD 47%
MODEL WIN PROBABILITY
MODEL PICKS
Moneyline Seattle Mariners -110
50%
+0.2% edge
XGB LAD 50% LR SEA 54% NN SEA 55%
MODELS SPLIT
TOP FACTORS
↑ park_run_factor
↓ pitcher_dominance_diff
↓ sp_era_diff
Run Line Seattle Mariners -1.5 -110
63%
+13.0% edge
XGB SEA -1.5 62% LR SEA -1.5 65% NN SEA -1.5 69%
models agree
TOP FACTORS
↑ park_run_factor
↓ pitcher_dominance_diff
↓ sp_era_diff
Totals Under 8.5 -110
52%
+2.1% edge
XGB Under 7.7 LR Under 8.4 NN Under 7.0
models agree
GAME ANALYSIS
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PITCHING MATCHUP
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LINEUPS & PREDICTED BOX SCORE
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TEAM CONTEXT
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ODDS BY BOOK
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GAME ENVIRONMENT
Ballpark Dodger Stadium
Run Factor 99
Neutral
Weather 74°F · Clear · Wind 7 mph WSW
Totals O/U 8.5 7.7 proj
LINE MOVEMENT
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INJURIES
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GAME CONTEXT
Weather 74°F · Clear · Wind 7 mph WSW
ML open → now (away) -110 → -110
ML open → now (home) -110 → -110
Line movement (vs opening) Flat
Umpire data Coming soon
UPSET FACTOR
Chaos score 5 / 10
Underdog upset rate this season
85%
Blown leads recently
25%
Head-to-head divergence
50%
Bullpen volatility
58%
Starting pitcher inconsistency
30%
Series-game effect
100%