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MLB Thu Jul 30 10:10 PM ET @ Dodger Stadium Game 1 of series
SEA Seattle Mariners
ML -110 -1.5 -110
O/U 8.5 7.4 proj
LAD Los Angeles Dodgers
ML -110 +1.5 -110
SEA 35% LAD 65%
MODEL WIN PROBABILITY
MODEL PICKS
Moneyline Los Angeles Dodgers -110
62%
+11.6% edge
XGB LAD 67% LR LAD 64% NN LAD 64%
models agree
TOP FACTORS
↑ park_run_factor
↑ blowout_prob
↑ net_run_diff
Run Line Los Angeles Dodgers +1.5 -110
50%
-2.4% edge
XGB SEA -1.5 53% LR SEA -1.5 50% NN SEA -1.5 57%
models agree
TOP FACTORS
↑ park_run_factor
↑ blowout_prob
↑ net_run_diff
Totals Under 8.5 -110
53%
+3.4% edge
XGB Under 6.9 LR Under 8.0 NN Under 7.5
models agree
GAME ANALYSIS
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PITCHING MATCHUP
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LINEUPS & PREDICTED BOX SCORE
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TEAM CONTEXT
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ODDS BY BOOK
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GAME ENVIRONMENT
Ballpark Dodger Stadium
Run Factor 99
Neutral
Weather 81°F · Clear · Wind 8 mph WSW
Totals O/U 8.5 7.4 proj
LINE MOVEMENT
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INJURIES
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GAME CONTEXT
Weather 81°F · Clear · Wind 8 mph WSW
ML open → now (away) -110 → -110
ML open → now (home) -110 → -110
Line movement (vs opening) Flat
Umpire data Coming soon
UPSET FACTOR
Chaos score 5 / 10
Underdog upset rate this season
86%
Blown leads recently
25%
Head-to-head divergence
100%
Bullpen volatility
63%
Starting pitcher inconsistency
30%
Series-game effect
10%