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MLB Wed Jul 29 1:10 PM ET @ Citi Field
ATL Atlanta Braves
ML -110 -1.5 -110
O/U 8.5 7.2 proj
NYM New York Mets
ML -110 +1.5 -110
ATL 77% NYM 23%
MODEL WIN PROBABILITY
MODEL PICKS
Moneyline Atlanta Braves -110
74%
+23.6% edge
XGB ATL 63% LR ATL 86% NN ATL 76%
models agree
Run Line Atlanta Braves -1.5 -110
78%
+28.4% edge
XGB ATL -1.5 73% LR ATL -1.5 92%
models agree
Totals Under 8.5 -110
55%
+4.6% edge
XGB Under 7.6 LR Under 6.0
models agree
GAME ANALYSIS
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PITCHING MATCHUP
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LINEUPS & PREDICTED BOX SCORE
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TEAM CONTEXT
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ODDS BY BOOK
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GAME ENVIRONMENT
Ballpark Citi Field
Run Factor 99
Neutral
Weather 74°F · Cloudy · Wind 9 mph WNW
Totals O/U 8.5 7.2 proj
LINE MOVEMENT
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INJURIES
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GAME CONTEXT
Weather 74°F · Cloudy · Wind 9 mph WNW
ML open → now (away) -110 → -110
ML open → now (home) -110 → -110
Line movement (vs opening) Flat
Umpire data Coming soon
UPSET FACTOR
Chaos score 6 / 10
Underdog upset rate this season
71%
Blown leads recently
25%
Head-to-head divergence
75%
Bullpen volatility
97%
Starting pitcher inconsistency
30%
Series-game effect
50%