RESEARCH
MODEL
SPORT
BET TYPE
WINDOW
WIN RATE
52.0%
TOTAL PICKS
494
AVG CONFIDENCE
65.7%
CONF GAP
+13.7%
| Model | Bet Type | Picks | Wins | Win % ▼ | Avg Conf | Conf Gap | Hot Streak |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Batter Props | RBI | 8 | 8 | 100.0% | 62.0% | -38.0% | 🔥 8 |
| Batter Props | Total Bases | 22 | 19 | 86.4% | 63.6% | -22.8% | 🔥 4 |
| Batter Props | Strikeouts (B) | 9 | 7 | 77.8% | 69.1% | -8.7% | 1 |
| Pitcher Props | Hits Allowed | 22 | 15 | 68.2% | 73.0% | +4.8% | 0 |
| Batter Props | Batter Singles | 18 | 12 | 66.7% | 69.9% | +3.2% | 0 |
| Pitcher Props | Earned Runs | 23 | 15 | 65.2% | 72.6% | +7.4% | 1 |
| Pitcher Props | Walks (P) | 20 | 13 | 65.0% | 74.3% | +9.3% | 2 |
| Batter Props | Walks (B) | 36 | 23 | 63.9% | 78.4% | +14.5% | 0 |
| Batter Props | Runs | 37 | 23 | 62.2% | 69.2% | +7.0% | 0 |
| Batter Props | Hits | 11 | 6 | 54.5% | 65.5% | +11.0% | 0 |
| XGBoost (MLB) | NRFI | 15 | 8 | 53.3% | 55.4% | +2.1% | 🔥 3 |
| Ensemble (MLB) | F5 Ml | 15 | 6 | 50.0% | 61.2% | +11.2% | 2 |
| Ensemble (MLB) | Total | 8 | 4 | 50.0% | 55.2% | +5.2% | 🔥 3 |
| Logistic Regression (MLB) | F5 Ml | 15 | 6 | 50.0% | 61.7% | +11.7% | 2 |
| XGBoost (MLB) | Total | 8 | 4 | 50.0% | 60.2% | +10.2% | 0 |
| Batter Props | H+R+RBI | 13 | 6 | 46.2% | 70.2% | +24.0% | 0 |
| Pitcher Props | Strikeouts (K) | 21 | 9 | 42.9% | 73.7% | +30.8% | 0 |
| Logistic Regression (MLB) | Total | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 58.0% | +15.1% | 0 |
| XGBoost (MLB) | F5 Ml | 15 | 5 | 41.7% | 60.7% | +19.0% | 0 |
| Ensemble (MLB) | Moneyline | 15 | 6 | 40.0% | 61.8% | +21.8% | 🔥 3 |
| Ensemble (MLB) | NRFI | 15 | 6 | 40.0% | 55.2% | +15.2% | 0 |
| Logistic Regression (MLB) | Moneyline | 15 | 6 | 40.0% | 64.1% | +24.1% | 🔥 3 |
| Logistic Regression (MLB) | NRFI | 15 | 6 | 40.0% | 54.8% | +14.8% | 0 |
| XGBoost (MLB) | Run Line | 15 | 6 | 40.0% | 58.7% | +18.7% | 0 |
| Pitcher Props | Outs | 21 | 8 | 38.1% | 73.7% | +35.6% | 0 |
| Neural Net (MLB) | Moneyline | 15 | 5 | 33.3% | 61.7% | +28.4% | 0 |
| Neural Net (MLB) | NRFI | 15 | 5 | 33.3% | 56.1% | +22.8% | 2 |
| Ensemble (MLB) | Run Line | 15 | 4 | 26.7% | 57.1% | +30.4% | 0 |
| Logistic Regression (MLB) | Run Line | 15 | 4 | 26.7% | 61.3% | +34.6% | 0 |
| XGBoost (MLB) | Moneyline | 15 | 4 | 26.7% | 63.7% | +37.0% | 0 |
MODEL ANALYTICS
MODEL
BEST
Batter Props
67.5%
WORST
Neural Net
33.3%
BET TYPE
BEST
RBI
100.0%
WORST
Run Line
31.1%
PROP TYPE
BEST
RBI
100.0%
WORST
Outs
38.1%
TEAM
BEST
Milwaukee Brewers
100.0%
WORST
Seattle Mariners
0.0%
PLAYER
BEST
Daniel Susac
100.0%
WORST
Braxton Ashcraft
0.0%
| Player | Picks | Record | Win % | Avg Conf | Conf Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Susac | 5 | 5-0 | 100.0% | 67.9% | -32.1pp |
| Tim Tawa | 5 | 5-0 | 100.0% | 70.7% | -29.3pp |
| Andrés Chaparro | 5 | 5-0 | 100.0% | 76.5% | -23.5pp |
| Carson Whisenhunt | 5 | 5-0 | 100.0% | 89.8% | -10.2pp |
| Erick Fedde | 5 | 5-0 | 100.0% | 87.1% | -12.9pp |
| Jacob Gonzalez | 4 | 4-0 | 100.0% | 67.7% | -32.3pp |
| Jasson Domínguez | 4 | 4-0 | 100.0% | 72.2% | -27.8pp |
| Yainer Diaz | 3 | 3-0 | 100.0% | 72.1% | -27.9pp |
| Wade Meckler | 3 | 3-0 | 100.0% | 66.5% | -33.5pp |
| Max Kepler | 3 | 3-0 | 100.0% | 63.9% | -36.1pp |
| Edwin Arroyo | 3 | 3-0 | 100.0% | 68.9% | -31.1pp |
| Alan Roden | 5 | 4-1 | 80.0% | 71.3% | -8.7pp |
| LaMonte Wade Jr. | 5 | 4-1 | 80.0% | 74.3% | -5.7pp |
| Miles Mikolas | 5 | 4-1 | 80.0% | 83.1% | +3.1pp |
| Jeffrey Springs | 5 | 4-1 | 80.0% | 74.9% | -5.1pp |
| Tyler Tolbert | 8 | 6-2 | 75.0% | 70.9% | -4.1pp |
| Bryan Torres | 4 | 3-1 | 75.0% | 71.7% | -3.3pp |
| Josh Smith | 4 | 3-1 | 75.0% | 70.4% | -4.6pp |
| Braxton Fulford | 4 | 3-1 | 75.0% | 72.5% | -2.5pp |
| Francisco Lindor | 6 | 4-2 | 66.7% | 66.3% | -0.4pp |
| Luis Robert Jr. | 6 | 4-2 | 66.7% | 66.3% | -0.4pp |
| Jim Jarvis | 3 | 2-1 | 66.7% | 68.9% | +2.2pp |
| Tommy White | 3 | 2-1 | 66.7% | 68.9% | +2.2pp |
| Braden Montgomery | 3 | 2-1 | 66.7% | 68.9% | +2.2pp |
| Blaze Jordan | 3 | 2-1 | 66.7% | 68.9% | +2.2pp |
| Denzer Guzman | 3 | 2-1 | 66.7% | 70.9% | +4.2pp |
| Chadwick Tromp | 5 | 3-2 | 60.0% | 73.4% | +13.4pp |
| Christian Encarnacion-Strand | 5 | 3-2 | 60.0% | 69.7% | +9.7pp |
| Walker Buehler | 5 | 3-2 | 60.0% | 85.5% | +25.5pp |
| Logan Gilbert | 5 | 3-2 | 60.0% | 75.9% | +15.9pp |
| Drew Rasmussen | 5 | 3-2 | 60.0% | 79.3% | +19.3pp |
| Kyle Freeland | 5 | 3-2 | 60.0% | 71.5% | +11.5pp |
| Janson Junk | 5 | 3-2 | 60.0% | 85.5% | +25.5pp |
| Cristopher Sánchez | 5 | 3-2 | 60.0% | 68.9% | +8.9pp |
| Connor Prielipp | 5 | 3-2 | 60.0% | 66.0% | +6.0pp |
| Reynaldo López | 5 | 3-2 | 60.0% | 65.0% | +5.0pp |
| Robbie Ray | 4 | 2-2 | 50.0% | 65.8% | +15.8pp |
| Tommy Edman | 4 | 2-2 | 50.0% | 69.8% | +19.8pp |
| Sonny Gray | 4 | 2-2 | 50.0% | 65.5% | +15.5pp |
| Kyle Leahy | 5 | 2-3 | 40.0% | 80.5% | +40.5pp |
| Jameson Taillon | 5 | 2-3 | 40.0% | 67.4% | +27.4pp |
| Ronel Blanco | 5 | 2-3 | 40.0% | 66.8% | +26.8pp |
| José Soriano | 5 | 2-3 | 40.0% | 65.8% | +25.8pp |
| Griffin Conine | 3 | 1-2 | 33.3% | 69.2% | +35.9pp |
| Cooper Pratt | 3 | 1-2 | 33.3% | 68.9% | +35.6pp |
| Sean Burke | 3 | 1-2 | 33.3% | 67.7% | +34.4pp |
| Cole Carrigg | 3 | 1-2 | 33.3% | 68.9% | +35.6pp |
| Bryan De La Cruz | 5 | 1-4 | 20.0% | 75.7% | +55.7pp |
| Jacob deGrom | 5 | 1-4 | 20.0% | 67.3% | +47.3pp |
| Donovan Walton | 7 | 1-6 | 14.3% | 75.9% | +61.6pp |
| Braxton Ashcraft | 5 | 0-5 | 0.0% | 69.2% | +69.2pp |
| Jorge Polanco | 3 | 0-3 | 0.0% | 68.2% | +68.2pp |
| Connor Wong | 2 | 2-0 | 100.0% | 64.0% | -36.0pp |
| Andrew Velazquez | 2 | 2-0 | 100.0% | 63.2% | -36.8pp |
| Casey Mize | 2 | 2-0 | 100.0% | 62.9% | -37.1pp |
| Petey Halpin | 2 | 2-0 | 100.0% | 72.1% | -27.9pp |
| Cam Cauley | 1 | 1-0 | 100.0% | 62.7% | -37.3pp |
| Dylan Cease | 1 | 1-0 | 100.0% | 68.6% | -31.4pp |
| Lucas Spence | 1 | 1-0 | 100.0% | 62.7% | -37.3pp |
| Eury Pérez | 1 | 1-0 | 100.0% | 62.2% | -37.8pp |
| Gleyber Torres | 1 | 1-0 | 100.0% | 62.0% | -38.0pp |
| Noelvi Marte | 1 | 1-0 | 100.0% | 79.5% | -20.5pp |
| Victor Mesa Jr. | 2 | 1-1 | 50.0% | 63.2% | +13.2pp |
| Gabriel Arias | 2 | 1-1 | 50.0% | 63.9% | +13.9pp |
| Ryan Waldschmidt | 2 | 1-1 | 50.0% | 72.1% | +22.1pp |
| Pedro Ramírez | 2 | 1-1 | 50.0% | 71.0% | +21.0pp |
| Luis Lara | 2 | 1-1 | 50.0% | 72.1% | +22.1pp |
| Nathan Eovaldi | 2 | 0-2 | 0.0% | 62.8% | +62.8pp |
| Lars Nootbaar | 2 | 0-2 | 0.0% | 64.8% | +64.8pp |
| Esmerlyn Valdez | 2 | 0-2 | 0.0% | 71.0% | +71.0pp |