RESEARCH
MODEL
SPORT
BET TYPE
WINDOW
WIN RATE
52.0%
TOTAL PICKS
494
AVG CONFIDENCE
65.7%
CONF GAP
+13.7%
| Model | Bet Type | Picks | Wins | Win % ▼ | Avg Conf | Conf Gap | Hot Streak |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Batter Props | RBI | 8 | 8 | 100.0% | 62.0% | -38.0% | 🔥 8 |
| Batter Props | Total Bases | 22 | 19 | 86.4% | 63.6% | -22.8% | 🔥 4 |
| Batter Props | Strikeouts (B) | 9 | 7 | 77.8% | 69.1% | -8.7% | 1 |
| Pitcher Props | Hits Allowed | 22 | 15 | 68.2% | 73.0% | +4.8% | 0 |
| Batter Props | Batter Singles | 18 | 12 | 66.7% | 69.9% | +3.2% | 0 |
| Pitcher Props | Earned Runs | 23 | 15 | 65.2% | 72.6% | +7.4% | 1 |
| Pitcher Props | Walks (P) | 20 | 13 | 65.0% | 74.3% | +9.3% | 2 |
| Batter Props | Walks (B) | 36 | 23 | 63.9% | 78.4% | +14.5% | 0 |
| Batter Props | Runs | 37 | 23 | 62.2% | 69.2% | +7.0% | 0 |
| Batter Props | Hits | 11 | 6 | 54.5% | 65.5% | +11.0% | 0 |
| XGBoost (MLB) | NRFI | 15 | 8 | 53.3% | 55.4% | +2.1% | 🔥 3 |
| Ensemble (MLB) | F5 Ml | 15 | 6 | 50.0% | 61.2% | +11.2% | 2 |
| Ensemble (MLB) | Total | 8 | 4 | 50.0% | 55.2% | +5.2% | 🔥 3 |
| Logistic Regression (MLB) | F5 Ml | 15 | 6 | 50.0% | 61.7% | +11.7% | 2 |
| XGBoost (MLB) | Total | 8 | 4 | 50.0% | 60.2% | +10.2% | 0 |
| Batter Props | H+R+RBI | 13 | 6 | 46.2% | 70.2% | +24.0% | 0 |
| Pitcher Props | Strikeouts (K) | 21 | 9 | 42.9% | 73.7% | +30.8% | 0 |
| Logistic Regression (MLB) | Total | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 58.0% | +15.1% | 0 |
| XGBoost (MLB) | F5 Ml | 15 | 5 | 41.7% | 60.7% | +19.0% | 0 |
| Ensemble (MLB) | Moneyline | 15 | 6 | 40.0% | 61.8% | +21.8% | 🔥 3 |
| Ensemble (MLB) | NRFI | 15 | 6 | 40.0% | 55.2% | +15.2% | 0 |
| Logistic Regression (MLB) | Moneyline | 15 | 6 | 40.0% | 64.1% | +24.1% | 🔥 3 |
| Logistic Regression (MLB) | NRFI | 15 | 6 | 40.0% | 54.8% | +14.8% | 0 |
| XGBoost (MLB) | Run Line | 15 | 6 | 40.0% | 58.7% | +18.7% | 0 |
| Pitcher Props | Outs | 21 | 8 | 38.1% | 73.7% | +35.6% | 0 |
| Neural Net (MLB) | Moneyline | 15 | 5 | 33.3% | 61.7% | +28.4% | 0 |
| Neural Net (MLB) | NRFI | 15 | 5 | 33.3% | 56.1% | +22.8% | 2 |
| Ensemble (MLB) | Run Line | 15 | 4 | 26.7% | 57.1% | +30.4% | 0 |
| Logistic Regression (MLB) | Run Line | 15 | 4 | 26.7% | 61.3% | +34.6% | 0 |
| XGBoost (MLB) | Moneyline | 15 | 4 | 26.7% | 63.7% | +37.0% | 0 |
MODEL ANALYTICS
MODEL
BEST
Batter Props
67.5%
WORST
Neural Net
33.3%
BET TYPE
BEST
RBI
100.0%
WORST
Run Line
31.1%
PROP TYPE
BEST
RBI
100.0%
WORST
Outs
38.1%
TEAM
BEST
Milwaukee Brewers
100.0%
WORST
Seattle Mariners
0.0%
PLAYER
BEST
Daniel Susac
100.0%
WORST
Braxton Ashcraft
0.0%
| Prop Type | Picks | Record | Win % | Avg Conf | Conf Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RBI | 8 | 8-0 | 100.0% | 62.0% | -38.0pp |
| Total Bases | 22 | 19-3 | 86.4% | 63.6% | -22.8pp |
| Strikeouts (B) | 9 | 7-2 | 77.8% | 69.1% | -8.7pp |
| Hits Allowed | 22 | 15-7 | 68.2% | 73.0% | +4.8pp |
| Batter Singles | 18 | 12-6 | 66.7% | 69.9% | +3.2pp |
| Earned Runs | 23 | 15-8 | 65.2% | 72.6% | +7.4pp |
| Walks (P) | 20 | 13-7 | 65.0% | 74.3% | +9.3pp |
| Walks (B) | 36 | 23-13 | 63.9% | 78.4% | +14.5pp |
| Runs | 37 | 23-14 | 62.2% | 69.2% | +7.0pp |
| Hits | 11 | 6-5 | 54.5% | 65.5% | +11.0pp |
| H+R+RBI | 13 | 6-7 | 46.2% | 70.2% | +24.0pp |
| Strikeouts (K) | 21 | 9-12 | 42.9% | 73.7% | +30.8pp |
| Outs | 21 | 8-13 | 38.1% | 73.7% | +35.6pp |